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Coronavirus

Oregon reports 5 new COVID-19 deaths, 250 cases amid worrisome new modeling

Oregon coronavirus MGN
MGN

Daily hospitalizations would more than triple under 'moderate' scenario

(Update: Daily case count; eighth county added to face covering requirement)

PORTLAND, Ore. (KTVZ) -- COVID-19 has claimed five more lives in Oregon, raising the state’s death toll to 202, along with 250 new cases, the Oregon Health Authority reported Friday as it released worrisome new modeling of a potential sharp rise in cases and hospitalizations in coming weeks.

OHA reported 250 new confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19 as of 12:01 a.m. Friday, bringing the state total to 7,818 cases, along with. It was the second-highest daily case count, second only to 278 cases reported on June 16.

The new cases reported Friday are in the following counties: Benton (4), Clackamas (17), Columbia (1), Deschutes (4), Douglas (4), Jackson (5), Jefferson (6), Josephine (2), Lake (3), Lane (10), Lincoln (4), Linn (4), Malheur (13), Marion (18), Morrow (12), Multnomah (61), Umatilla (22), Union (12), Wasco (3), Washington (39), and Yamhill (6).

Deschutes County added four cases for a total of 159, while Jefferson County, which includes Warm Springs, had six more cases for a total of 91; Warm Springs reported six new cases as of late Thursday, for a total of 63. Crook County remained at nine cases. OHA said negative test result numbers were pending.

Oregon’s 198th COVID-19 death is a 96-year-old woman in Marion County who tested positive on June 18 and died June 25, in her residence. She had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 199th COVID-19 death is a 90-year-old man in Marion County who tested positive on June 19 and died June 25, in his residence. He had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 200th COVID-19 death is a 79-year-old woman in Marion County who tested positive on June 18 and died June 24, in her residence. She had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 201st COVID-19 death is a 90-year-old woman in Union County who tested positive on June 13 and died June 25, at Grande Ronde Hospital. She had underlying conditions.

Oregon’s 202nd COVID-19 death is a 74-year-old woman in Morrow County who tested positive on June 22. Additional information about this COVID-19 related death is still pending. An update will be provided when we have additional information.

OHA updates face covering guidance for specific counties

In order to clarify face covering use requirements, OHA has updated its guidance document for residents of Clackamas, Hood River, Lincoln, Marion, Multnomah, Polk and Washington counties.

In these counties, face covering use is required in all businesses and for the general public when visiting these businesses and for the general public when visiting indoor spaces open to the public.

Based on a request from Clatsop County commissioners, Gov. Kate Brown on Friday added the face covering requirement for that county, adding it to seven others where it took effect Wednesday: Multnomah, Clackamas, Washington, Marion, Polk, Hood River and Lincoln counties.

"The governor’s office continues to strongly recommend that Oregonians in all counties wear face coverings in public, both indoors and outdoors, especially when six feet of distance from other individuals cannot be maintained," the statement said.

The governor also released general guidance for the use of face coverings in counties beyond the specified counties.

In the guidelines, indoor spaces are defined as spaces, whether publicly owned or privately owned, “where the public has access by right or invitation, express or implied, whether by payment of money or not.” In addition to the public areas of the businesses those spaces include building lobbies or common spaces, elevators, and buildings or meeting rooms outside of private homes where people gather for social, civic, cultural or religious purposes.

Stay informed about COVID-19:

Oregon response: The Oregon Health Authority and Oregon Office of Emergency Management lead the state response.

United States response: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention leads the U.S. response.

Global response: The World Health Organization guides the global response.

Earlier story:

New modeling of COVID-19 shows that the virus is spreading more rapidly in Oregon and could mean 900-plus new cases every day, according to the latest "moderate scenario," released Friday by the Oregon Health Authority and the Institute for Disease Modeling.

The model, which is based on data through June 18, offers three projections -- optimistic, moderate and pessimistic -- predicting that daily case levels could rise as much as 20 percentage points.

The modeling assumes that hospitalizations from COVID-19 remain stable and testing remains at its present level of approximately 4,000 a day:

  • The optimistic scenario with those assumptions suggests the previous modeling increase of June 11 was the result of higher testing and that case counts would remain stable at about 180 per day over the next month. This is the least likely scenario to occur because it assumes diagnosis of all new cases and presently about one-third of new infections cannot be traced to a known source.
  • The moderate scenario suggests the rise in cases in the last modeling report was due to increased transmission and expanded testing -- and that daily infections of COVID-19 could rise over the next month to more than 900 per day, with daily hospitalizations rising from 8 to 27.
  • The most pessimistic scenario suggests the rise in cases in the last modeling report was due entirely to increased transmission and not expanded testing -- and that infections could rise to more than 4,800, and hospitalizations could increase to 82 per day.

"We know that COVID-19 is in our communities," said Dean Sidelinger, MD, Oregon state health officer. "This latest model provides us with a sobering reminder that we all need to guard against continued spread, especially as we continue to reopen and the weather gets warmer."

Sidelinger added, "Think hard about your choice of activities, especially as we get close to the Fourth of July holiday. Ask yourself: 'How can I reduce my risk and the risk I might pose to people around me?'"

"Do what you can to suppress the virus: Stay 6 feet away from other people. Wear a mask. Avoid large gatherings, and if you are in a group setting -- like a holiday barbecue -- stay outside, keep your distance and use a face covering when you’re not eating. Wash your hands frequently and stay home if you’re sick.

OHA uses this modeling for data analysis and planning purposes and releases it on a bi-weekly basis. The entire report can be found here.

Health / News / Oregon-Northwest / Top Stories

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Comments

46 Comments

  1. the protests and riots should help the spread, I wouldn’t want to be a protester living under a non protesters roof or as a next door neighbor when we get put under another covid lockdown. having grown up with 12 children I’ve seen what happens when all the kids get punished for a few

    1. Except for this:
      https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/24/883017035/what-contact-tracing-may-tell-about-cluster-spread-of-the-coronavirus?utm_campaign=storyshare&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwAR3e-U4OoR4nC8-c66MVlqEgC9JH0aOUq4E8i3ygTKW6gPbXxS_2EgscZvw

      “We’re finding that the social events and gatherings, these parties where people aren’t wearing masks, are our primary source of infection,” Lautenbach says. “And then the secondary source of infection is workplace settings.”

    2. Ole Union county still up there in the running! LOL!! Fortunately for all you gullible, hillbilly regressives, big fat lyin donnie says “the virus is fading and will be gone soon” That is why new cases are nearing record levels, its that fading thing!!!!! ROTFLMAO!!! You should’ve stayed in school!!! Soooooo much winning!!!!!!!!!!!
      _
      Golf and a whore anyone!!!!! trump / putin 2020!!!! MAKE WHORES MINIMUM WAGE AGAIN!!!!!

    3. you wish – the information it available, though you choose to spread “alternative truths” – what motivates you to do such things? how do you justify such behavior? – despite people like you, black lives really do matter

    1. Really? Please enlighten us. As of 6/16 Mayo Clinic is still saying that there is no treatment. And with 250 new cases in Oregon today and 5 deaths being reported. I’m sure all us old people would welcome the news.

      1. Didn’t mean to mislead you… I meant wearing a mask as treatment. If everyone wore a mask, the potential to suppress the spread would likely be more than 70%.

          1. Yeah, but it will ruin your make up, just ask dear leader!!!!! ROTFLMAO!!!!!!!!!! Our law and order president with the hairdo and makeup he stole from Kim Jong Un!!!! LOL!! Soooooooooo much winning!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

          1. Racist. Saying old lives matter is racist. How dare you use the black lives matter slogan and degrade their message by using it for your own purpose. You are silencing their message by using it your own purpose.

            1. Oh, thanks for your take on that. I don’t know how you figure that ‘old’ refers to any one’s ethnicity but then I rarely understand your logic anyway.

    1. Much like dear leader!!! LOL!!!!
      “The virus is way down and will be gone soon”
      _

      “its just one person coming in from China, we have it totally under control, everything is going to be just fine”
      _

      “Its all a hoax to make look bad before the election”
      _

      “Hyrdoxychloroquine will be the greatest game changer in the history of medicine”
      _

      “We will have a vaccine very soon”
      _

      “I didn’t know the flu killed people”
      _

      “anyone who wants a test can get a test”
      _

      “The virus will go away, like a miracle it will be gone”
      _

      “the federal government has tremendous control of the virus”
      _

      It’s contained”
      _

      “Americans can sleep better at night because North Korea is no longer a nuclear threat”
      _

      “he wrote me a beautiful letter and we fell in love”
      _

      Golf and a whore anyone!!! trump putin 2020!!!! HELSINKI PROUD!!! ROTFLMAO!!!!
      _

      Soooooooo much winning sweetie!!!

    2. They have not been wrong at all. A model is basically an if/then statement that says what will happen based on human behavior. For example, if all people wear masks at indoor public settings we will have 70% fewer cases. Models are all action=consequence.

  2. Not a single model has been correct. No point in trusting this one. Also, it’s funny that it says 900 new cases in worst case, but remaining at 4000 daily testing….lol okay, that would be nearly 25% positive rate and no where in the world is that high.

    1. Maybe because you need sufficient data to develop an effective model and I don’t recall anyone saying that’s there’s been enough data on this virus.

      1. There is certainly enough data to know that if you are under 65 you have very little to worry about the virus and is on par with death rate of the flu for those under that age. So you can just protect yourself if you are over 65. Otherwise it doesnt matter about the number of new cases.

  3. Yes, like Joe Biden said, things are really bad in the US, “120 MILLION people have died!” OK Joe, so 1/3 of the country’s population? Wow.

    (Senile)

    1. No completely sane person would jump into any election against a psycho. Biden is just crazy enough to do it, and still far more competent than the Self Professed Very Stable Genius.

      1. Yes, we also desperately need to address common sense gun reform. A background check and the conceal carry class should be a bare minimum requirement before every gun purchase, with ongoing safe handling training. And people who have a track record of anger and violence towards spouses, animals, and on social media should have additional screening. Thank you for the reminder.

  4. This virus is like all viruses,it will have to run its course until there’s vaccine then a stronger more resistant strain will take its place.It’s like trying to stop a volcano or earthquake.

    1. Is that a famous quote from Edward Jenner? No? Was it Jonas Salk? Albert Sabin? Thomas Peebles? Maurice Hilleman maybe? I’m sure I’ve heard that before from someone…

  5. It doesn’t have to be this way. European and Asian countries came together and acted like adults, fearlessly, with compassion and patriotism and beat the pandemic. And now they get to lead normal lives. But not us. We’re the epicenter of hate and anger, and sickness and death, with the worst effected economy. And everything we went through was for nothing, because we all gave up, and now our economy is trashed and our confirmed cases are the highest they’ve ever been. Not because Europe has better doctors or better drugs, but because our leadership and our right-wing media has lead us down this path of misinformation and denial and unnecessary suffering and death. And because people are too selfish to wear a mask and stay 6′, because they have no self respect, and no respect for you or your family. #winning

    1. Wrong. It has been unneeded over reaction and fear that has led us to this point. Not right wing media. Bad policies started by Democratic governors due to fear based on bad models. (Yes it was democrat governors that started the lockdowns.). And then, people like you, continuing to spread out false information about how bad the virus is without seeing the data for yourself and putting it into context with how many already die every day. And then using absurd logic for why small businesses needed to close. It doesn’t matter that new cases are going up either, people 65 and older just need to protect themselves, for everyone else it’s about on par with the flu for deathrate. Look at the data for yourself.

      1. Fortunately for you the flu doesn’t cause long-term neurological problems. No circulatory problems either. Those renal issues I’ve been reading about that can be associated with this virus must be fake news too. I’m feeling so relieved now that I’ve gotten the skinny from central Oregon’s premier epidemiologist, jxmoron. As long as I don’t die, I’ll be fine. Good to know. Did your parents drop you on your head too many times as a child or do you have to work at this?

      2. Europe used the same info we have. They had the same medical studies to decide how to react. The difference is, they had leaders that cared about their countries and their people, and they gave their citizens clearly laid-out truths/instructions on how to stop the disease. And it worked! They get to travel, watch live sports, and their economies aren’t shattered. We, in contrast, had a daily circus lead by a reality show star who gave a different message every day and suggested we shine light up our butts, inject chlorox, and that the summer heat would take care of it. How’s that summer heat working out for ya?

  6. Tre Hgr, I agree with what you are saying on this but remember that Trump let the States decide how to handle this and I see that the States that allowed open protests have spiked also.Europe has more controlled borders which is huge when it comes to slowing down the spread of disease.BTW, I’m not a Republican or Democrat! I’m an American😎

    1. Thank you for the kind response. You not being a republican or a democrat is almost as rare as someone dying of the virus and not having ‘underlying medical conditions’. You’re a bit of a unicorn; uncommon and elusive.
      .
      I hadn’t thought of it until you mentioned it, so I entered ‘did black lives matter protests spread virus’ into the google, and every single story said the protests haven’t cause a spike in cases. There were protests in New York, New Jersey, Detroit, Chicago, etc, you can look up those places on the John Hopkins dashboard and see for yourself that numbers have not gone up. The protests started almost a month ago, so we would have seen the spike by now, I think.
      .
      Here’s a link to an ABC story.
      “In Minneapolis, one of the largest medical groups in the area, Health Partners, said that just 1 percent of nearly 10,000 protesters had tested positive for the virus. Similar rates were seen in Seattle this month, when city officials said that less than 1 percent of 3,000 protesters had tested positive for COVID-19.”
      https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/black-lives-matter-protests-haven-t-led-covid-19-spikes-n1232045

  7. TreHgr, you’re welcome. However not being affiliated with a political party is all that rare these days. Many are registered as Indendant. I could be a unicorn though because I try to be objective mostly.😊

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